Post by tyrntlzrdking on Feb 23, 2006 7:05:59 GMT -5
POST OF THE DAY ON ALL FORUMS.....
tongusc
Member
Member Rated:
posted February 22, 2006 21:35
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pulled from some website: BKMP
Im estimating that it should be around .05-.08 by Memorial Day.
Currently they have 1M subs, at $5/mo thats $60M/yr. If they only make 25% profit from that after paying the carriers, fees, taxes, employees, etc..., thats $15M/yr Profit, of which BKMP gets 20%, or $3M/yr. Divide that over the 2.5B shares, and you have earnings of .0012 currently. To be extremely cautious, I will only use a P/E of say, 10, and that should make their current PPS .012.
The key is the carriers in the US. I think they can easily ad 4-6M subs by May in the U.S, remember Fox Soccer Channel alone has 20M subscribers in the U.S, and they launched January 7 2004, and are competing against GolTV, as well as ESPNDeportes who compose another 17M subscribers. Furthermore, you cant discount those numbers as being the "Latino Factor", because the big matches from South America, as well as Italy, are televised on UGN, RAI, and Telemundo. These are mostly die-hard fans, who are willing to shell out money to see the international games, just like NFL network, but with a slight handycap since its harder to find the smaller matches televised. (links for the FSC #s are in a link below)
On New Years eve, when the majority of the target Demographi, including myself 18-35 year old males were out getting hammered, both UFC and TNA wrestling had a .8 Nielsen rating for their time slots. Thats a total of 1,763,200 viewers on NEW YEARS, while the Times Square Ball drop had 20M viewers.
(A single ratings point represents 1%, or 1102000 households for the 2005-06 season, talk about HOT CONTENT...)
Heres one of the sources for the numbers, there are more out there but this was easy to find. www.wrestleview.com/news2005/1136523210.shtml
When the Fight Network comes to the U.S, if it can gain only 4M subscribers, then these numbers will be 5x higher!! (1+4=5, 1x5=5, and .012 x 5= .06) And now for the even better news. . . . the 20% ownership of The Fight Network is the maximum allowable under Canadian law. Now that they are incorporated in Wyoming, and have opened a NY office that will serve as the U.S counterpart to their Toronto HQ (remember, 50% of the Fortune 500 are incorporated in Delaware, but less than .1% have any physical offices there, incorporation is on paper) BKMP will undoubtedly have a greater stake in TFN, with Garrow being brought in with Winnick as the big owners. If BKMP was just some scam company that bought a chunk of this network, Garrows would never tarnish his name by bringing him on board, and stating that they will be working to make their partnership even closer. (If Gordon Gekko bought out your company, and you knew he was gonna be run to the ground, wouldnt you want to distance yourself as much as possible from his name)
On top of ALL this, is the HUGE ammount of advertising revenue that this channel will bring in. They already have Xyience on their website, but just imagine the potential revenue for a Network that will be catering right to the 18-35 yo demographic??? Do your own DD, and come to your own conclusions, but I have tried to provide as much info as possible if you have questions.
thefightnetwork.com
bkmp.net
"Fox Soccer Channel is .....one of the major operating units within the Fox Entertainment Group (NYSE: FOX) and News Corporation (NYSE: NWS). Distributed as a cable and satellite service, FSC boasts more than 20 million subscribers....launched as Fox Soccer Channel in February 2005. heres the soccer numbers: www.ussoccerfoundation.org/site/c.gpLPJQOpHkE/b.998643/k.6A4E/062705A.htm